Market insights

Most leading economic indicators and rising central banks’ official interest rates point towards global recession, but the latest still firm household spending and labour market data in the US, Europe and Australia are still showing resilience. Annual inflation...

The Australian labour market was still running hot in Q3 and in early October according to the latest wage price index and labour force reports. Annual wage growth accelerated from 2.6% y-o-y in Q2 to 3.1% in Q3, while total employment in October rose by 32,200 and...

The key messages from the downside US CPI surprise in October are that their annual inflation rate has moved past the peak for this cycle and can be expected to decline further through to mid-2023. Two near-term disinflationary forces are in play in the US, softer...

In October and early November, financial markets toyed with the idea that central banks may be approaching the end of the rate hiking cycle fostering erratic rallies in several major share and bond markets. These rallies seem to be built on shaky ground given that the...

The latest inflation readings in most major economies continued to surprise on the high-side of expectations, but financial markets are starting to look towards when central banks may pivot and hike interest rates at a less aggressive pace. Essentially, the view that...