Markets Overview
- ASX SPI 200 futures down 0.2% to 7,309.00
- Dow Average down 0.7% to 33,301.87
- Aussie down 0.3% to 0.6604 per US$
- U.S. 10-year yield rose 4.2bps to 3.4428%
- Australia 3-year bond yield fell 18 bps to 2.95%
- Australia 10-year bond yield fell 14 bps to 3.30%
- Gold spot down 0.4% to $1,989.32
- Brent futures down 3.8% to $77.74/bbl
Economic Events
- 10:30: (AU) Australia to Sell A$1 Billion 56-Day Bills
- 10:30: (AU) Australia to Sell A$500 Million 133-Day Bills
- 11:30: (AU) 1Q Import Price Index QoQ, est. 0.5%, prior 1.8%
- 11:30: (AU) 1Q Export Price Index QoQ, est. -2.6%, prior -0.9%
US stocks ended lower as fresh concerns about the health of American regional lenders dragged down bank shares, even as big-tech earnings helped support broader sentiment.
The S&P 500 retreated 0.4% as First Republic Bank’s woes deepened Wednesday. The US regional bank plunged 30% in another volatile session after it was said to face potential curbs on borrowing from the Federal Reserve. Treasuries fell after an auction, with US lawmakers expected to vote on a debt ceiling bill in the early evening. Meanwhile, PacWest Bancorp offered a glimmer of hope that First Republic doesn’t portend trouble for the broader sector. Its shares rose 7.5% amid signs of recovery in its deposit levels.
A run on deposits at First Republic has raised questions about the effect of the Federal Reserve’s aggressive rate hikes on US lenders and what the central bank can do to stop a bank crisis from spreading. Some market participants have speculated the tightening cycle may end sooner than expected, though inflation remains high. The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, the so-called PCE deflator, is due Friday.
Other News
Australian home-rental prices recorded their biggest annual increase since 2010 in the first three months of the year as a combination of low vacancy rates and rising immigration trigger a housing crunch.
National rents advanced 4.9% from a year earlier, climbing almost a percentage point from the final three months of 2022, Australian Bureau of Statistics data showed on Wednesday. The lack of new supply is a product of rising interest rates and labor and material shortages that have curbed or slowed building.
In Sydney, local media report scores of people are turning up to inspections of rental properties. Others say tenants are staying in homes that have mold and other problems because they’re unable to find alternative accommodation in their price range.
The National Housing Finance and Investment Corporation warned earlier this month that Australia faced a shortfall of more than 100,000 homes over the next five years. That comes amid resurgent immigration following the reopening of borders and the return of international students.
Australian capital cities need residential construction activity to remain high to ease pressure on the tight rental market, Bloomberg Intelligence said in a report this month. It said the dynamic of low building approvals due to high mortgage costs and weakening developer confidence was likely to continue until 2024.
“Capital city rents will keep rising through 2023 as vacancy rates approach 1% due to population growth and supply constraints,” the report said. “Apartments face the tightest squeeze from an increasing population and will likely see rent growth outperform that of detached houses.”
Australia’s center-left Labor government has sought to make inroads into the problem with its signature Housing Future Fund, a A$10 billion ($6.6 billion) plan that aims to boost supply through additional grants and loans.
It’s currently before the Senate, or upper house, with little prospect of passing as the center-right opposition fails to engage and minority Greens oppose it.
Greens Party leader Adam Bandt said in a speech Wednesday that the fund would do little to solve the housing crisis and called for radical action to assist renters via the construction of additional public housing.
At a separate event Wednesday, Tarun Gupta, chief executive of property development company Stockland, said his firm had previously been building a home in 16 weeks, but due to supply chain and labor constraints that had now blown out to 32 weeks.
“We are seeing in our business the sharpest, and this is nationally, the sharpest volume correction we’ve seen in modern Australian history,” he warned.
“And that is because we’ve seen the sharpest interest rate rises in modern Australian history,” said Gupta.
Australia’s central bank raised rates by 3.5 percentage points between May 2022 and March as it sought to quell inflation. Policymakers left borrowing costs unchanged at 3.6% this month and meet again on Tuesday.
(Bloomberg)
