by Stephen Roberts | 11 Aug, 2025 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary
According to the market and analysts it is a done deal that the RBA will cut the cash rate by 25bps to 3.60% at the two-day interest rate setting meeting this week. A rate cut seemed a near done deal at the July meeting and did not happen. Will the RBA surprise again...
by Stephen Roberts | 4 Aug, 2025 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary
Risk assets rose in July amid signs that the US and global economies are faring better than hoped with rising US trade protectionism. The market’s ‘risk-on’ trading attitude in July could be tested in August. At the beginning of August soft, US July labour market...
by Stephen Roberts | 28 Jul, 2025 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary
Economic data released in July showed that while global economic growth is moderating, the damage so far is not as much as feared from the US policy turn towards imposing higher trade tariffs. Also, progress reducing inflation is stalling rather than reversing. Part...
by Stephen Roberts | 14 Jul, 2025 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary
The RBA surprised just about everybody, including us, with its decision to leave the cash rate unchanged at 3.85% last week. It begs the question what did we miss? What was it in the run of data and events between the June RBA policy meeting, when the RBA considered...
by Stephen Roberts | 7 Jul, 2025 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts
Risk assets rose mostly in June as tensions flared and settled between Iran, Israel and the US. European risk assets were the exception, giving up a little ground. While the US Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, indicated that theFed was in no hurry to cut the...
by Stephen Roberts | 30 Jun, 2025 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary
Economic data released in June showed evidence of moderating global economic growth but still tight labour market conditions and mixed picture for inflation with stickiness showing for some, notably the US and UK, but reducing for others including much of Europe...
