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Economic Roundup

Economic Roundup

by Stephen Roberts | 29 Mar, 2021 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary

More signs showed of global economic recovery in March albeit bumpier in some parts such as in the US and Europe. Positive news of rising Covid-19 vaccination rates was tempered by an increase in infection rates in some countries including several in the EU forcing a...
The employment ‘V’

The employment ‘V’

by Stephen Roberts | 22 Mar, 2021 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary

The ‘V-shaped’ economic recovery is most powerfully evident in Australian monthly employment data since the beginning of the pandemic. Just before the employment losses from the pandemic total employment peaked at 13.009 million people in February 2020. Total...
The wage trigger

The wage trigger

by Stephen Roberts | 15 Mar, 2021 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary

Senior RBA officials remain adamant that official interest rates will not need to rise until 2024, at the earliest. The message will be reinforced again when RBA Governor Philip Lowe speaks this week and despite repeated admissions that the economy is recovering more...
Australia’s mega bounce

Australia’s mega bounce

by Stephen Roberts | 9 Mar, 2021 | Economic Weekly, Market Commentary

Australia recorded back-to-back 3%+ real GDP growth in Q3 and Q4 2020 showing the sharpest bounce from the depths of the pandemic recession of almost all major economies. The question now is how long Australia’s out-performance will last. Another question is will...
Market Drivers

Market Drivers

by Stephen Roberts | 1 Mar, 2021 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary

Risk assets rose in February even after suffering a late-month setback caused by rising longer-term bond yields on growing market concern that fast-pace economic recovery could prime higher inflation. A battle is developing between the bond market’s view that policy...
Economic Roundup

Economic Roundup

by Stephen Roberts | 22 Feb, 2021 | Economic Weekly, Laminar Economist Stephen Roberts, Market Commentary

Economic reports and surveys for major economies released during February show mostly renewed signs of economic recovery after a dent from the resurgent pandemic during the northern hemisphere winter. China and Australia are exceptions showing uninterrupted economic...
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