The bigger developed economies continue to lead global economic recovery and September economic readings were firm on balance. Very strong developed economy macro policy support for growth, however, is past its peak and the threat of step down in policy support,...
Economic forecasting even with the aid of the best economic models is a tricky business at the best of times. The assumptions fed into models are a key influence on forecasts and economic forecasting assumptions often prove to be wide of the mark. The risk of feeding...
On the economic front 2021 has thrown a number of surprises. During the first half of the year economic recovery in Australia was stronger and faster than widely expected. The unemployment rate fell more than expected. Robust growth in demand and restricted supply of...